Essentially, all decisions are bets. If luck weren’t involved, the best poker players would win every time. The same is true for leaders. If not for chance and unpredictable influences, the smartest leaders would always make the right decision. For decision-makers, luck is either a negative, or a necessary ally. The best decision-makers strike a truce with luck by incorporating it into their decision process.
Face the facts. You can’t outsmart luck. In fact, the smarter you are, the better you are at confirming what you already believe and pretending luck won’t confound the outcome. Yet, random forces appear when you least expect them, turning a wise choice into a wildly bad decision. Luck reveals information no one predicted and at the worse possible moment. Knowing this is your savior.
The best decision-makers presume the unforeseen and the unlucky. The critical skill required to master luck is not to predict it, but to expect it. The flexibility to respond to and capitalize on unpredictable changes is how the best leaders tame luck.
You make your own luck when you are prepared to play any cards you are dealt. The essential skill is the ability to react and adapt to whatever randomness throws at you. Planning for unexpected contingencies is a good start, but luck requires leaders to adapt on the fly. Knowing you will have to adjust in a moment’s notice is half the battle.
Once the cards are revealed, the best decision-makers reevaluate everything and play the best hand they can. Inferior decision-makers panic and scramble to offset the negative effects they hadn’t planned for.
We are tested most by the events out of our control. Luck proves over and over that our destiny is not entirely in our hands. Knowing you will have to flex and adapt to the unpredictable and random events that luck will present is what great leaders understand. Stop fighting randomness. Presume it, instead.
Perfect for strategists, project managers, or emergency preparedness - really good one!
It is said that Napoleon preferred lucky generals over unlucky ones. With the proper understanding of “luck” one can certainly understand why. Also reminds me of the saying, “Chance favors the prepared mind” and “Fortune favors the bold” — though maybe that’s reaching a little beyond the subject at hand. Certainly many people are not open to luck either— and would rather take credit and chalk good results up to their own skill. Knowing that luck is a factor in many successes is certainly a good character trait— it’s not quite humility, but it is a good sign nonetheless.