“Good judgment comes from experience and experience comes from bad judgment,” or so goes the well-known quote. Of the many factors that contribute to success as a leader, decision-maker, or individual contributor, perhaps none has more impact than the “good thinking” of sound judgment. Given that making good judgments lies at the heart of effective leadership, it’s surprising we don’t talk about it or teach it more actively.
Great article. In my experience, there's a fourth step that includes trying to divine all of the unintended downstream consequences. Perhaps this is wrapped up into the third step you have above, but it's probably prudent to actually capture as part of the third step this weighting of consequences (especially the mental exercise of trying to discern those pesky unintended consequences). Just a thought.
Guided trials to errors and consequences, concluding with analytical assessment. A repeated practice of all of these again and again, which breed better judgment.
Great article. In my experience, there's a fourth step that includes trying to divine all of the unintended downstream consequences. Perhaps this is wrapped up into the third step you have above, but it's probably prudent to actually capture as part of the third step this weighting of consequences (especially the mental exercise of trying to discern those pesky unintended consequences). Just a thought.
Guided trials to errors and consequences, concluding with analytical assessment. A repeated practice of all of these again and again, which breed better judgment.
_Noise_ presents a pretty rigorous approach to finding out why bad judgement persists
https://www.amazon.com/Noise-Human-Judgment-Daniel-Kahneman/dp/0316451401